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Bitcoin Price Trend



The price of Bitcoin will not be able to grow forever, because at a certain stage of the crypt currency will absorb all economic value in the world. Let's first consider the scenario where the price of bitcoin reaches $100,000,000 per coin. I use the "bubble top" and non-linear regression line model to represent the channel.



The orange line corresponds to a non-linear regression curve. The green line is drawn at the tops of early Bitcoin bubbles. The last price jump of the Bitcoin was a microbubble and did not reach this line.


The channel is narrowing as the price approaches $100,000,000 in 2030. I assume that the price of a bitcoin will fluctuate within these limits, tilting less and less as it moves towards a state of hyperbitcoinization.


We can see on the chart that, theoretically, the price of a bitcoin can rise above $500,000,000 where two lines meet. However, as mentioned above, innovative technologies are reaching the saturation stage and we should assume that bitcoin will behave in the same way. At some point, the Bitcoin chart will begin to move to a horizontal position. Using the trend described above, we will draw a chart based on the S-curve of Everett's spread.



A hypothetical S-shaped curve of hyperbitcoinization. Bitcoin is still in its lower part. The way to $100 million.


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We have already made sure that the propagation will not follow the ideal S-curve. However, the linear chart of the rate shows that the price of Bitcoin has not even started to rise yet. The price of the bitcoin remains on the horizontal part of the curve. Even if we moderate our forecast by an order of magnitude or two, the price of the bitcoin will still remain in the horizontal segment below the critical point.

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